We believe the end is near for Michele Bachmann’s presidential candidacy. Funds are running low and she’s sending some of her top people back to their day-to-day jobs in her Congressional office.
It’s not too hard to see why she’ll be out soon… the self-appointed Tea Party Princess never really had a message that resonated outside the Evangelical/Iowa circle and her stances on religion and gays never won her any friends among “moderate” Republicans (also knows as RINOs).
Her claim, which she later distanced herself from, that the HPV virus vaccine might cause mental retardation just seemed to be a desperate, and irrational, attempt to jab a dagger in the side of Rick Perry who himself has been hurting since his poor debate performances.
As Campaign Trail Report wrote:
This could simply be a move happening as a result of budget cuts in the campaign. It could be that Bachmann just needed to restructure her advisers and staff.
But it could also mean she’s preparing to scale down and shut down her campaign. Consultants come and go, but to ship your senior adviser, your deputy pres secretary and your scheduler back to your Congressional office seems a bit off.
Rick Perry’s entry into the race as a strong fiscal Conservative seemed to take a lot of wind out of Bachmann’s sails and many believed he became the immediate front runner when he jumped into the race but beginning with the second half of his first debate he’s been declining. Perry’s comments that coming down on illegal immigrants getting in state tuition in Texas was “heartless” didn’t earn him any favors, either.
He later apologized for that.
We are still trying to figure out if Nigger Head Rockgate was all made up or not, but it appears to have thrown a bucket of cold water on his candidacy.
Ironically, Perry’s death blow to Bachmann doesn’t seem to be helping him any as Herman Cain appears to be gaining in the polls at Perry’s expense.
The Cain Train is in full express mode and the more hammering he gets by the media the better he does because he not only has shown he can nicely stand up for himself but that he can put arrogant Liberals in their place (using facts).
If people said that Obama was unqualified, having been but a one term U.S. Senator, to be president what did that make Bachmann who was only elected to the House in 2007?
With many primaries to come, it will take a lot of money for Bachmann to stay in the race and since she appears to be using her Congressional money instead of presidential donations to pay for everything this is a clear sign she has little chance to be able to afford what will become an expensive race.
Contrast this with Perry, Romney, and Cain who are seeing donations pour into their coffers.
Romney probably will not benefit from Bachmann’s departure as Evangelicals have expressed displeasure in his Mormonism. That leaves Perry to gain the most from the Religious Right with Tea Party members perhaps moving into Cain’s camp as he constantly speaks about the evils of Big Government and his success from when he ran Godfather’s Pizza.
Rick Santorum, for all of his bluster, will probably be out soon, too and was never anything but a marginal candidate anyway. And Fox News’ Chris Wallace hammered him on the topic of gays in the military which left him looking somewhat badly.
So the question becomes which of the three remaining Republican candidates will take home the win?
Romney appeals to Independents and Conservative Democrats (Reagan Democrats as they were once called), Perry appeals to Evangelicals, and Cain to Independents and Tea Party supporters.
Although it’s tough to predict where things go from here, Conservative Republicans would most likely break for Cain if Perry keeps shooting himself in the foot with comments on immigration, illegals, and fumbling on basic debate questions showing how unprepared he seems.
Romney’s only hope appears to simply outlast the other guys in the race.
As I have said before, I don’t trust Romney because of Romneycare and Perry’s participation in the Prayer and Fasting breakfast rules him out for me due to some of the unsavory groups which sponsored it.
My money, literally, is on Cain (I donated $50 to his campaign) and I hope he wins the Republican nomination though I disagree with him on some social issues.
As for why I like Cain so much, LD Jackson at Political Realities has the video from Cain’s speech at The Value Voters Summit which shows him, I think, to be a sincere, unscripted, and honest guy.
I’d imagine were Cain to debate Obama he’d completely mop the floor with him since he not only has a track record of success but comes across as being very honest as well (what a nice change).
As for Bachmann… she did establish herself nationally, even if it wasn’t always in the way she’d hoped.